Today’s analysis shows 22 cases per 100,000 in the over-80s population in England. To put this into context, the Government uses a rate of 20 cases per 100,000 in order to determine (with other factors) whether you should self isolate when you return from a country with this incidence of Covid-19. An interpretation would be: …
Continue reading “Latest Cases Heatmap Analysis: 22 cases per 100,000 over-80-year-olds”
Sky News including my cases heatmap analysis at 2:30 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uyjc1Gh2puM Channel 5 News https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=30V8YuRqw5g Quoted in the British Medical Journal(BMJ 2020; 370 :m3678 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m3678 ) Quoted in The Observer / The Guardian … BBC Local Radio https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0QSa5YUuLZw And interviews on BBC Look North & BBC East Midlands Today; Background to BBC News, Reuters
One thing civil servants learn is to write things down. Here is Academy of Medical Sciences 14 July report commissioned by the UK Chief Scientific Adviser. For the record. It sets out what was known in July, and clearly sets out what the Government needed to do at the time. Straight off the bat, we …
Click here to link to Loughborough University press release Public Health England have released their data on cases split by age and week. We can turn these into a map visualizing the transmission of the epidemic through ages of cases and through time. We do this by plotting a three-dimensional chart, a heatmap, where the …
The case numbers for COVID-19 have risen significantly over the last few days and are now at just under 3,000 cases per day. We have been told by Minsiters and the Deputy Chief Medical Officer that these cases are primarily in young people. So, why should we be concerned with COVID transmission in young people …
Continue reading “Should We Be Concerned About COVID Transmission In Young People? Yes.”
School pupils have had a tough year. For those with examinations, such as A-levels, it has been even tougher. The Department for Education decreed that A-levels and GCSEs should not take place due to the COVID crisis. This meant that an alternative way of allocating grades to students needed to be found. To set the …
Cumulative COVID-19 deaths per 100,000 population as at 6 July 2020 Zoomed in to London coronavirus-staging.data.gov.uk has just released death totals per local authority. We can divide these by the population to get deaths per 100,000 population up to 5 July 2020. These data and the analysis is provisional and may be updated. Group 1: …
Continue reading “COVID-19 Deaths by Population at 6 July 2020”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r5MLUw1CMsw Leicester went into lockdown in early July, with the Statutory Instrument setting out these restrictions published on 3 July (The Health Protection (Coronavirus, Restrictions) (Leicester) Regulations 2020) just before the loosening of restrictions elsewhere in the country. Public Health England has published an analysis of what is known about the Leiecester outbreak. Diagrams are …
Continue reading “Commentary on COVID-19 cases in Leicester”
The pubs open on Saturday in England, allowing people to mix in confined spaces and potentially transmit COVID-19. In Friday’s Number 10 briefing, the Chief Medical Officer said”The biggest risks are when lots of people from completely different households are brought together in close proximity indoors. And whether that’s in a pub or a cricket …
Public Health England has today released the second tranche of data for COVID tests. This is the most comprehensive data we have for tests as it includes Pillar 1 tests (those conducted by PHE and NHS hospitals) and Pillar 2 tests (those conducted by private companies under NHS Test and Trace). Some journalists had been …
