The Wall Street Journal is reporting that “New York City on Wednesday will close public schools and nonessential businesses in parts of Brooklyn and Queens that have registered a week-long spike in coronavirus cases” Let’s look at New York and then compare to a UK city, Liverpool. Cases are high in some New York boroughs. …
Category archives: Public Policy
Media Roundup Week ended 4 October 2020
Sky News https://youtu.be/iN0kUXK_0Ts?t=28 BBC Radio Five Live https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eTMW4lUjAGA Quoted on Sky News , Daily Express, Yahoo! News, Guardian BBC Local Radio, Independent Radio (Bauer Media syndicates) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MuurDpf3sp0 Background to Financial Times, Reuters, LBC, Guardian
Latest Cases Heatmap Analysis: 22 cases per 100,000 over-80-year-olds
Today’s analysis shows 22 cases per 100,000 in the over-80s population in England. To put this into context, the Government uses a rate of 20 cases per 100,000 in order to determine (with other factors) whether you should self isolate when you return from a country with this incidence of Covid-19. An interpretation would be: …
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Coronavirus Media Roundup week ended 27 September 2020
Sky News including my cases heatmap analysis at 2:30 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uyjc1Gh2puM Channel 5 News https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=30V8YuRqw5g Quoted in the British Medical Journal(BMJ 2020; 370 :m3678 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m3678 ) Quoted in The Observer / The Guardian … BBC Local Radio https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0QSa5YUuLZw And interviews on BBC Look North & BBC East Midlands Today; Background to BBC News, Reuters
Civil Servants Write Things Down
One thing civil servants learn is to write things down. Here is Academy of Medical Sciences 14 July report commissioned by the UK Chief Scientific Adviser. For the record. It sets out what was known in July, and clearly sets out what the Government needed to do at the time. Straight off the bat, we …
Heatmaps of COVID Cases in England
Click here to link to Loughborough University press release Public Health England have released their data on cases split by age and week. We can turn these into a map visualizing the transmission of the epidemic through ages of cases and through time. We do this by plotting a three-dimensional chart, a heatmap, where the …
Should We Be Concerned About COVID Transmission In Young People? Yes.
The case numbers for COVID-19 have risen significantly over the last few days and are now at just under 3,000 cases per day. We have been told by Minsiters and the Deputy Chief Medical Officer that these cases are primarily in young people. So, why should we be concerned with COVID transmission in young people …
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Show Your Working: Model Quality Assurance in Government & Letter in Financial Times
School pupils have had a tough year. For those with examinations, such as A-levels, it has been even tougher. The Department for Education decreed that A-levels and GCSEs should not take place due to the COVID crisis. This meant that an alternative way of allocating grades to students needed to be found. To set the …
COVID-19 Deaths by Population at 6 July 2020
Cumulative COVID-19 deaths per 100,000 population as at 6 July 2020 Zoomed in to London coronavirus-staging.data.gov.uk has just released death totals per local authority. We can divide these by the population to get deaths per 100,000 population up to 5 July 2020. These data and the analysis is provisional and may be updated. Group 1: …
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Commentary on COVID-19 cases in Leicester
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r5MLUw1CMsw Leicester went into lockdown in early July, with the Statutory Instrument setting out these restrictions published on 3 July (The Health Protection (Coronavirus, Restrictions) (Leicester) Regulations 2020) just before the loosening of restrictions elsewhere in the country. Public Health England has published an analysis of what is known about the Leiecester outbreak. Diagrams are …
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