Click here to link to Loughborough University press release Public Health England have released their data on cases split by age and week. We can turn these into a map visualizing the transmission of the epidemic through ages of cases and through time. We do this by plotting a three-dimensional chart, a heatmap, where the …
Author archives: Dr Duncan Robertson
Should We Be Concerned About COVID Transmission In Young People? Yes.
The case numbers for COVID-19 have risen significantly over the last few days and are now at just under 3,000 cases per day. We have been told by Minsiters and the Deputy Chief Medical Officer that these cases are primarily in young people. So, why should we be concerned with COVID transmission in young people …
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Show Your Working: Model Quality Assurance in Government & Letter in Financial Times
School pupils have had a tough year. For those with examinations, such as A-levels, it has been even tougher. The Department for Education decreed that A-levels and GCSEs should not take place due to the COVID crisis. This meant that an alternative way of allocating grades to students needed to be found. To set the …
Data Sources for COVID-19 in England – Letter from PHE to Local Authorities
I have received a copy of the following letter from Public Health England to Local Authorities setting out the data sources available to local authories and the public. The letter is dated 9 July 2020 and I have redacted certain information. This should be useful for people wishing to understand what data is (and was) …
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Data Sources for COVID-19 Analysis in England
Since the early Number 10 Downing Street press conferences, the data available to analyze the progression of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK has become somewhat fragmented. This is an overview of the major sources of data. coronavirus.data.gov.uk This shows data for testing, cases, healthcare, and deaths, updated daily. More detail is shown on each …
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Total (Cumulative) Deaths from COVID-19 to 7 July 2020
I have analyzed the death data from coronavirus-staging.data.gov.uk and produced the maps below. These are for total deaths since the beginning of the epidemic (not total cases and not current deaths). Leicester (currently locked down with a large number of cases) does not have a relatively high number of deaths. Areas that are dark green …
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Searchable SAGE (Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies) Minutes on COVID-19
The early minutes of SAGE (the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies) were searchable: However, later minutes are not. So, if you are searching for, say “asymptomatic transmission”, you won’t find anything. Which is odd, beacuase the SAGE meeting where this was first mooted, on 28 January, is searchable (the documents listed do not link to …
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COVID-19 Deaths by Population at 6 July 2020
Cumulative COVID-19 deaths per 100,000 population as at 6 July 2020 Zoomed in to London coronavirus-staging.data.gov.uk has just released death totals per local authority. We can divide these by the population to get deaths per 100,000 population up to 5 July 2020. These data and the analysis is provisional and may be updated. Group 1: …
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Commentary on COVID-19 cases in Leicester
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r5MLUw1CMsw Leicester went into lockdown in early July, with the Statutory Instrument setting out these restrictions published on 3 July (The Health Protection (Coronavirus, Restrictions) (Leicester) Regulations 2020) just before the loosening of restrictions elsewhere in the country. Public Health England has published an analysis of what is known about the Leiecester outbreak. Diagrams are …
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Thinking of Drinking?
The pubs open on Saturday in England, allowing people to mix in confined spaces and potentially transmit COVID-19. In Friday’s Number 10 briefing, the Chief Medical Officer said”The biggest risks are when lots of people from completely different households are brought together in close proximity indoors. And whether that’s in a pub or a cricket …