Our paper on Foresight approaches for future health shocks: integration into policy making and accompanying research priorities has been published in the British Medical Journal BMJ 2024; 387 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2023-078647 (Published 07 October 2024)BMJ 2024;387:e078647 The paper is accessible here
Category archives: Publications
Models and Policy Paper
Our paper ‘Challenges on the interaction of models and policy for pandemic control’ has been published in the journal Epidemics. ABSTRACT The COVID-19 pandemic has seen infectious disease modelling at the forefront of government decision-making. Models have been widely used throughout the pandemic to estimate pathogen spread and explore the potential impact of different intervention …
Simulation Modelling Community Response to COVID-19
Our paper in Journal of Simulation ‘How simulation modelling can help reduce the impact of COVID-19’ setting out how simulation modelling can help in the fight against COVID-19 and subsequent epidemics and pandemics. Click here to access the paper. ABSTRACT Modelling has been used extensively by all national governments and the World Health Organisation in …
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Agent-Based Strategizing: New Book Published at Cambridge University Press
My new book, Agent-Based Strategizing, has been published at Cambridge University Press. It is available to download for free until 31 July 2019 at the link below. The book is an overview of how agent-based modelling has been (and can be) used in strategic management. https://www.cambridge.org/core/elements/agentbased-strategizing/4AD9D0D7416DE46AEB7F1A5478772ACF Abstract: Strategic management is a system of continual disequilibrium, …
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Spatial Transmission Models: A Taxonomy and Framework
This paper , published in the journal Risk Analysis, sets out a review of the different methods used for modelling the spread of an idea, disease, etc. over space. ABSTRACT Within risk analysis and more broadly, the decision behind the choice of which modelling technique to use to study the spread of disease, epidemics, fires, technology, rumors, or …
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Agent-Based Models for Simulating Human Behavior: IFORS Conference 2017
This presentation including joint work with Alberto Franco, was presented at the IFORS (International Federation of Operational Research Societies) conference in Quebec City, QC, Canada. We present two different agent-based models for simulating human behavior. We use the example of group decision making. The first model uses a cognitive fitness landscape to model the quality …
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The Strategy Hypercube: Exploring Strategy Space Using Agent-Based Models
The Strategy Hypercube: Exploring Strategy Space Using Agent-Based Models, Lecture Notes in Computer Science 2927:182-192 Link here: http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-540-24613-8_13
Review of ‘Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation’, OR Essentials
Book review to be published in The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation (JASSS) Taylor, Simon J. E. (Ed.) (2014) Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation, OR Society and Palgrave Macmillan: Basingstoke Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation is the first in the Operational Research Society’s OR Essentials series. OR Essentials brings together multidisicpinary research from the management, …
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Agent-Based Models of A Banking Network
Agent-Based Models of a Banking Network as an Example of a Turbulent Environment: The Deliberate vs Emergent Strategy Debate Revisited is a paper that I wrote that uses an agent-based model to simulate the strategic positioning decisions of firms within a competitive environment. It links firm strategy (particularly banking strategy) to the competitive environment: where should …
The Complexity of the Corporation
In my paper, The Complexity of the Corporation, I introduce complexity science applied to management, discussing complex adaptive systems, emergence, co-evolution, and power laws. “We discuss the notion of complexity as applied to firms and corporations. We introduce the background to complex adaptive systems, and discuss whether this presents an appropriate model or metaphor to be used within …